Some suggestions:

1. Spread this around.
2. Become a Precinct Leader and improve upon these numbers. Older demographics get their information from two main sources: the people around them and Old Media. Call these people. Talk to them. Advertise in your local newspaper. Get them to the polls if you have to drive them there yourself.
3. If your state is looking pretty good based upon these numbers it is imperative to not become complacent, but rather to get out and improve upon them and ensure victory in your state.

Projections from this website:

This is the spreadsheet I made after the Iowa and New Hampshire results were in. It is weighted based on:

1. 18-35 year old male population (per capita)

2. RonPaul2008.com donors (per capita)

3. State score on PledgeForPaul.com

The 2 items I would also like to add (but don’t have the data for) are meetup group sizes and libertarian party members. After plugging in the South Carolina and Michigan data, I think this model is holding up pretty well. South Carolina had less votes then expected while Michigan had more then expected. The largest error so far is Nevada, which had a 3.5% higher then expected turnout. Las Vegas is the #7 biggest group on meetup, so taking into account meetup group sizes may have put this projection more in line with reality.

Here is the January 21st update… I’ll update again after Florida:

(This is a copy/paste from RedTelegram.com in case their hosting can’t handle the traffic. Please visit their site to support this great effort.)

State

Projection

Actual

Error

New Jersey 46%       Arkansas 34.6%       North Carolina 30.2%       Delaware 27.6%       Utah 26.1%       Colorado 21.2%       Tennessee 19.9%       Illinois 19.3%       Alabama 18%       Texas 17.9%       District of Columbia 17.8%       North Dakota 17.8%       Alaska 17.8%       Oregon 17.2%       Florida 16.8%       Oklahoma 15.7%       New Mexico 15.2%       Kentucky 14.2%       Washington 12.7%       Pennsylvania 12.3%

Connecticut 12%       Maryland 11.1%       Iowa 11.1% 11.3% 0.2%   Louisiana 10.7%       Nevada 10.3% 13.7% 3.5%   Arizona 9.8%       Idaho 9.2%       Montana 8.3%       California 8.3%       Mississippi 8%       West Virginia 6.9%       Virginia 6.9%       Massachusetts 6.9%       Minnesota 6.9%       Kansas 6.2%       Georgia 6%       New York 5.8%       Indiana 5.6%       New Hampshire 5.5% 7.8% 2.3%   Michigan 5.5% 6.4% 0.9%

Maine 4%       South Carolina 4% 3.7% -0.3%   Missouri 3.9%       Nebraska 3.8%       Ohio 2.9%       Wisconsin 2.7%       Hawaii 0%       Rhode Island 0%       South Dakota 0%       Vermont 0%       Wyoming 0%   0%

(Download the spreadsheet here.)